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Asymco
Asymmetric Intelligence
- Posts
- 2,187 from 7 Jul 2009 to 7 Nov 2026
- Posting
- about daily (361 in the last year)
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- personal blog
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Latest
November 2026
- Asymco Office Hours: Apple’s Fiscal 2026 Q4 – Recording, Slides & Transcript, November 4, 2026
- Apple Earnings Office Hours: TODAY at 12pm ET / 9am PT
- Counterpoint says Mac shipments were down 11%, Apple says Mac revenues were up 24%
- The Ternus Doctrine
- Asymco Office Hours: Apple’s Fiscal 2026 Q4 and Full Year, Wednesday, November 4, 12pm ET / 9am PT
- Estimates for the September Quarter 2026
- The Last Consumer Company
October 2026
- Global Smartphone Shipments Down 20% in 3Q26, regressing to 2013 level
- Full Circle on AI
- Bank of America finds a way to buy the iPhone Duo
- The best worst case scenario
- Why do phones have cameras?
- iPhone 18 Pro demand jumps nearly 20% in India, rises 12% in China
September 2026
- The best selling product of all time
- Remember Netflix? Stock Downgraded As YouTube Harvests Viewers
- Apple’s Unpretentious Moonshot
- Mac sales in Mainland China grew 63% in Q2
- John Ternus Defends the Vision Pro
- Asymco Bulletin 031 – Sep 20, 2026
- Refurbishing the Innovator’s Dilemma
- Asymco Office Hours Boston: TODAY at 4pm ET — In Person or Remote
- Stairway to the $3200 Heaven
- Siri, not a companion, by design.
- Duo dollars a day, Duo cents an unlock
- The iPhone Duo: theater, not specs
- Asymco Office Hours Duo: The First Ternus Keynote – Sunnyvale Session Recording & Transcript, September 11, 2026
- Asymco Office Hours Duo: Boston: Friday, 18 September 2026
- What happens when smartphones become too good?
- The Dawn of Gestural Computing
- Asymco Bulletin 030 – Sep 13, 2026
- Apple Watch Is Growing in a Shrinking Market
- Are iPhones too cheap?
- Asymco Office Hours Duo: Sunnyvale and Boston
- Is the Stairway to Heaven still working?
- Apple iPhone Event First Impressions
- IPhone 17 is the best selling iPhone ever with first year revenue for $170 billion
- Apple now in third place in US PC market share
- Apple acquires Sonera. The next pivot point for interfaces?
- Asymco Bulletin 029 – Sep 6, 2026
- Deploying Enterprise AI on Apple Hardware is Suddenly a no-Brainer
- The first surgical Apple Vision Pro application approved by the FDA
August 2026
- IDC lowers smartphone market volume estimates again: Now down 16.7%, lowered from previous estimate of down 13.9%. ASPs to rise 27%.
- Asymco Bulletin 028 – Aug 30, 2026
- The Freshman Register
- One in three phones sold in Europe is now an iPhone
- Asymco Bulletin 027 – Aug 23, 2026
- Rothschild & Co. Redburn upgrades Apple to ‘Buy’ from ‘Neutral’
- AI: a technology in search of a job
- What’s Going on with Smartphones?
- Apple and memory chips: a flat no, then a quiet maneuver?
- A Second Study on the Apple Vision Pro in Surgery is now Published
- What’s so special about Apple Upgrade?
- Apple TV: content is still king
- EU tech policy: playing chess by looking ahead one move
- Asymco Bulletin 026 – Aug 16, 2026
- Apple passes $10B/yr sales in India
- The Economy Chosun Interview Part 2
- The Economy Chosun Interview Part 1
- The SoC crunch: Apple has had fires and earthquakes too
- iPhone unit sales: count users, not phones
- Asymetric Podcast: Episode 139 — No Free Lunch
- Cook Doctrine’s remedy: floods don’t change architectures
- Vision Pro and glasses: the job is seeing, not capturing
- Apple Upgrade: down to the penny, up to an algorithm
- Asymco Bulletin 025 – August 9, 2026
- The foldable iPhone: what will it be good for?
- Apple’s guidance: in six months there will be a new set of worries
- Apple 2026 FQ3 Review: The Presentation — Asymco Office Hours, 31 July 2026
- Apple Vision Pro in Surgery: A New Paper
- Asymco Bulletin 024 – August 2, 2026
July 2026
- Apple Will ‘Watch Everything Burn’ When AI Bubble Bursts
- Post-Apple Earnings Live Q&A with Horace Dediu / Friday July 31, 12pm ET / 9am PT—Office Hours
- What to Watch for: Apple’s FQ3 Earnings
- Wall Street Predicts Third Quarter Numbers For Apple
- Apple reaches $5 trillion market cap for first time
- Invitation: Apple Earnings Special: Office Hours Live Q&A with Asymco’s Horace Dediu, Friday July 31.
- Goldman Raises Price Target Ahead of Q3 Earnings
- Is the Market Overvalued? Four Perspectives
- Apple Earnings Consensus for June Quarter
- Why is there no Apple Car?
- Asymco Bulletin 023 – July 26, 2026
- Beware December Quarter Guidance
- Preview of Apple’s June Quarter
- Time to Buy, Time to Sell.
- Why Huawei and Apple Grew While China’s Smartphone Market Fell Again in Q2 2026
- Omdia: Global smartphone market down 4% in 2Q26 while Apple and Samsung soared
- Asymco Office Hours Live Q&A with Horace Dediu, Friday July 31.
- How to maintain a Sell rating on Apple
- Asymco Bulletin 022 – July 19, 2026
- Why all-in and why all are in
- Game Over. Remember Consoles?
- Capturing Eyespace: Plotting Apple’s disruption of eyewear
- Citi hikes Apple price target by $50 to $365
- JP Morgan raises Apple stock price target by $20 to $345
- Why doesn’t anybody copy Apple?
- Worldwide PC market update Q2 2026: Omdia: overall decline 4%, Apple up 16%. IDC: overall decline of 4.9%, Apple up 10%
- No one admits they like or want to buy more AAPL
- Asymco Bulletin 021 – July 12, 2025
- The portability superpower
- Apple destroyed the mid-tier watch market. Now it’s coming for the $200 billion eyewear industry
- More than meets the eye
- Apple and Broadcom extend deal through 2031
- Did a lottery winner become “the company of the future”?
- Asymco Bulletin 020 – July 5, 2025
- Will agents kill the app economy?
- Counterpoint: Apple to Hit Record Market Shares in Smartphones, Laptops, Tablets; Watch Share Also Set to Grow
- Why is betting against Apple the extraordinary claim?
June 2026
- Memory is a Commodity
- Earnings are an opinion, cash flow is a fact
- Apple’s Q1 iPhone sales in Africa grew 44%
- Asymco Bulletin 019 – June 28, 2026
- The Memory Shock: Six Readings from a Supply-Chain Conversation
- Why is the most expensive thing you own the dumbest?
- Why iPhones prices don’t change
- ‘China’s Apple’ is in free-fall
- The Puzzle of Sustainable Growth
- Only one in eight smartphone users uses a smartwatch. What’s the problem?
- Asymco Bulletin 018 – June 21, 2026
- Asymetric Podcast: Episode 138 — Watershed
- Was Siri just thirteen years too early?
- Why is Apple selling hygiene?
- Where is the monetization? Follow the compute
- The range of options has run out. When will Apple raise prices?
- What’s a billion between friends?
- TD Cowen and Morgan Stanley increase Price Targets
- Asymco Bulletin 017 – June 14, 2026
- WWDC Special: Asymco Office Hours – June 2026 – Live Q&A with Horace Dediu: Recording & Transcript
- Trendforce: Global Smartphone Production Fell 1.7% YoY in 1Q26; Sharper Decline expected in 2Q26
- Apple confirms not using Google models, apps or search in Apple Intelligence
- Meet the System Orchestrator: Toward Intent-centric Computing
- Asymetric: Deleted Scenes
- Intent Computing vs. Spatial Computing
- Apple Intelligence: Show me the money!
- Counterpoint Research: Apple has shipped over 450 million Apple Intelligence-capable iPhones
- How to Measure WWDC
- Asymco Bulletin 016 – June 7, 2026
- How not to over serve; The machinery of vanity
- The Apple Ecosystem Approaches $2 Trillion
- 42% of Apple Analysts rate it a Hold or Sell
- WWDC Special: Asymco Office Hours Live Q&A with Horace Dediu, Tuesday June 9.
- Q4 PC shipments are expected to fall 20% year-over-year, 11.3% for the full year
- Citi reiterated a Buy rating and a $315 price target
- Morgan Stanley reiterates $330 price target with bull-case $440
May 2026
- Asymco Bulletin 015 – May 31, 2026
- Low-end, Game consoles, Secondary Markets, Displays and AI
- IDC Forecast: The smartphone market is on track for its worst year ever
- Melius’ Ben Reitzes raises price target on Apple to $385
- Omdia: Apple grows 9% as European Smartphone Market Grows 2%
- Bank of America increases AAPL price target considering agentic and on-device AI
- The problem with the P/E ratio
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